The inventory market has been on a tear recently, regardless of traders grappling with a number of headwinds, similar to doable recession. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve simply paused its fee hikes for June, which can seem to be excellent news. Nevertheless, the Fed nonetheless signaled that two extra are doubtless this yr. Thus, whereas the financial system is anticipated to keep away from a recession this yr, the outlook for subsequent yr is clouded by numerous headwinds because the financial system digests fee hikes. On this unsure and unstable surroundings, some hidden gems available in the market supply enticing worth and spectacular progress potential with restricted draw back threat because of their low valuation. The truth is, here are seven such low-risk high-reward shares which can be being misjudged by the market, however have strong fundamentals and promising progress prospects:
PayPal (PYPL)
PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) wants no introduction. The funds large has constantly grown its prime and backside strains, with income reaching $7 billion in Q1 with 8.6% year-over-year progress. That’s not far off from the expansion within the first half of 2019, and $800 million in quarterly income. But, PYPL trades at a large low cost, down virtually 80% from its peak.
To know this decline, we have to take a look at its progress fee relating to person accounts. It had 433 million lively accounts within the first quarter of 2023. This metric is loads greater than it was in This autumn 2019, the place it had 305 million customers. Nevertheless, the valuation decline is related to the expansion fee of lively accounts, which fell to only 0.9% YOY in comparison with 23.6% at its peak in This autumn 2020. The truth is, PayPal’s lively customers dropped by 2 million quarter-over-quarter.
Nevertheless, I imagine that that is only a readjustment in progress as the corporate benefited from the accelerated shift to e-commerce and digital funds amid the pandemic, as extra individuals shopped on-line and used contactless cost strategies. We’re principally seeing a cooldown now, and PayPal will see extra buyer acquisition as soon as progress returns to those segments.
Regardless, its cons relating to person progress and competitors are already priced in. The typical analyst value goal for PayPal is $91.67, which suggests a 38% upside potential from the present degree of $66.43. Not too shabby as a low-risk, high-reward inventory because the lowest value goal is $60.
Sea Restricted (SE)
Sea Restricted (NYSE:SE) is a number one Web platform that operates three core companies: digital leisure, e-commerce, and digital monetary companies. The corporate primarily operates in Southeast Asia, Latin America, and different rising markets.
Sea’s digital leisure phase consists of Garena, a number one on-line recreation developer, and writer that provides well-liked titles similar to Free Fireplace. In the meantime, its e-commerce phase consists of Shopee, a web based market like Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), which is dominant in Southeast Asia and Taiwan. It tried to develop into Latin America, although it has confronted a number of setbacks in that area.
Sea grew its income remarkably throughout 2018-21, with top-line progress averaging round a 130% clip YOY. It has since flatlined, and YOY progress has slowed to a meager 4.9%. Nevertheless, as I’ve talked about earlier than, segments that obtained a considerable increase from the pandemic are cooling down, and analysts anticipate this progress to re-accelerate and attain 14% subsequent yr. Sea has large progress potential in the long run, because it operates in a number of the fastest-growing web markets on this planet and touts a large addressable income. Grabbing it on the present vary (the place the expansion slowdown is already discounted from the worth) can return substantial returns from right here.
The typical analyst places a $100 value goal on this inventory, with a 61.5% upside potential. Even the bottom value goal right here is $82. These estimates point out that SE is a superb low-risk, high-reward wager.
Hiya Group (MOMO)
Hiya Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) is a number one cell social and leisure platform in China. It provides stay video streaming, short-form video, social networking, and on-line relationship companies. On the floor, this could appear to be a horrible wager with many caveats. The corporate’s person base declined to 106.5 million month-to-month lively customers, down from 111 million a yr in the past. The 2 prime apps, “Momo” and “Tantan,” had 9.4 million in Q1, down from 11 million from the year-ago interval. On prime of that, gross sales have been declining steadily, reaching $410 million in Q1 in comparison with $693 million at its peak.
Certainly, that’s not the most effective information. However let’s get into the professionals right here. The corporate is drastically enhancing its profitability. Hiya Group’s internet revenue elevated by 24% YOY to $227 million (TTM) and is anticipated to proceed its robust progress. The ahead price-to-earnings ratio right here is simply 6.7 occasions. Furthermore, this firm’s relationship apps are used principally in China. The pandemic restrictions had been a lot stricter, placing a damper on relationship. One also needs to observe that the relationship tradition in China primarily focuses on marriage (planning any occasion throughout a pandemic a straightforward activity), and the pandemic’s influence on Hiya Group’s relationship apps was exacerbated because of this. However as China opens up, gross sales are anticipated to proceed rising.
The typical analyst value goal for Hiya Group is $15.80, which suggests a 61.7% upside potential from the present degree of $9.80. The bottom value goal remains to be $12.
StoneCo (STNE)
StoneCo (NASDAQ:STNE) is a fintech firm that gives cost options to retailers and built-in companions in Brazil. It provides end-to-end options that embody point-of-sale gadgets, software program platforms, banking companies, credit score merchandise, and different value-added companies.
Very similar to different fintech corporations, progress has slowed down significantly because the pandemic. StoneCo remains to be a standout because it has been rising its income nonetheless, reaching $1.98 billion TTM, up 32% YOY. The corporate additionally achieved a optimistic internet revenue for the previous three quarters, and its 12-month internet revenue is $3.95 million. It is a nice achievement in comparison with a internet lack of $540 million in Q2 2022. It’s buying and selling at a hefty 85% low cost from its 2021 peak, however the inventory has been resilient recently as traders acknowledged the corporate’s progress prospects and aggressive place in Brazil. It’s up virtually 60% year-to-date.
The typical analyst value goal for StoneCo is $15, which suggests a 13% upside potential. Blended emotions concerning the firm principally drive this low common. Gurufocus estimates the honest worth of StoneCo at $85. It does observe that this could possibly be a worth lure, however I imagine there may be little draw back threat from right here. The bottom value goal is $11.
PagSeguro (PAGS)
PagSeguro (NYSE:PAGS) is one other fintech decide similar to StoneCo. That is one other Brazilian firm with comparable traits.
I gained’t go into this inventory an excessive amount of, as I’ve already lined StoneCo, however PAGS is an ideal wager for those who’re looking for one thing somewhat extra unstable. The gross sales progress is far decrease right here however remains to be strong. Each PagSeguro and StoneCo may have comparable progress within the following two years. And as an offset, this can be a firm that didn’t let its internet revenue go purple. In consequence, PagSeguro has a debt load of simply $64.6 million in opposition to $358 million in money. StoneCo has $905 million in debt in comparison with $1 billion in money.
However once more, PagSeguro is a smaller firm, and traders would wish to climate extra volatility available in the market regardless of the monetary security. Relating to analyst estimates, the story right here is nearly the identical as StoneCo—blended emotions concerning the upside however little draw back potential.
LiveRamp (RAMP)
LiveRamp (NYSE:RAMP) is a number one information connectivity platform that permits corporations to entry, handle, and activate information throughout numerous channels and platforms. The corporate helps shoppers ship customized and related experiences to their prospects, measure the influence of their advertising and marketing campaigns, and optimize their enterprise outcomes. Information segments are seeing strong progress throughout most corporations, and LiveRamp has been quiet up to now on that entrance and trades at a 68% low cost in comparison with its peak.
Nevertheless, gross sales progress is anticipated to speed up to 17.1% within the subsequent two years. It’s not worthwhile on paper, however losses are insignificant. EPS will develop at a fee of ~30% for the subsequent few years. The typical analyst additionally has a $36 value goal for RAMP, implying a 38% upside potential. All issues thought of, this can be a well-rounded wager amongst low-risk, high-reward shares.
Sirius XM (SIRI)
Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) is a number one audio leisure firm that provides music, sports activities, information, comedy, discuss, and podcasts via satellite tv for pc and on-line platforms. The inventory tumbled earlier this yr however is constructing momentum recently as traders acknowledged the corporate’s progress potential and aggressive place within the audio leisure market. The long-term outlook right here additionally stays optimistic, however gross sales progress will doubtless stay awful at a 3% YOY via 2026. Certainly, that is principally a worth decide, and I don’t anticipate super progress right here. However the draw back threat is low, and Gurufocus’ mannequin places the honest worth at $7.
PYPL | PayPal | $68.89 |
SE | Sea Ltd. | $61.21 |
MOMO | Hiya Group | $9.41 |
STNE | StoneCo | $14.19 |
PAGS | PagSeguro Digital | $10.78 |
RAMP | LiveRamp | $26.44 |
SIRI | Sirius XM | $3.75 |
On the date of publication, Omor Ibne Ehsan didn’t have (both straight or not directly) any positions within the securities talked about on this article. The opinions expressed on this article are these of the author, topic to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Pointers.